Based on a telephone survey made by Századvég Foundation, a conservative think tank, among a thousand of voting age Hungarian between 22-28 January: 30% of electors are hesitating.
Campaign goes for them basically. According to this poll the governing party Fidesz would get 32% of votes. LMP, the Hungarian green party comes back to 5%, which is the minimum rate for the entry to the parliament. It happens probably, in detriment of the United opposition. who would now get 20% of votes. The extreme-right Jobbik detains 11% of the votes. Finally, 2% of the voting age population would vote for other smaller parties.
The numbers according to another public opinion survey made between 15-22th of January by TÁRKI Group, an independent Social Research Institute: undecided 40 % , Fidesz : 29% LMP: 1%, United opposition: 21% , Jobbik: 8% and 1% for other.
Party support among decided voters in Hungary
Századvég Foundation reports: Fidesz : 51% LMP: 6%, United opposition: 28% , Jobbik: 14% and 1% for other.
TÁRKi Group reports: Fidesz : 49% LMP: 2%, United opposition: 35% , Jobbik: 14% .
LMP turns to be an interesting actor as the two think tanks show completely different tendencies.
Századvég shows a gain and TÁRKI a loss of possible votes among full population and decided voters too.